What seems like an ever-mercurial condition of State, beneath it all, Israel remains an intended outcome in waiting for its conditions to prevail.
In, seemingly, a constant conflict with the ambitions of Western Financial Ambitions on fundamental should remain crystal clear: Israel can never surrender to external influences, to do so is to overturn an historical truth and a Biblical prescription. Stepping aside, for the moment, on the aforementioned I believe it prudent to consider a point long overlooked; has anyone considered the odd truth that Israel may be willing to implode upon itself.
Donald Trump remains the first U.S. President to truly grasp the significance of the back-story lurking behind the Israeli-Condition and why the color of a two-state solution becomes a perennial impasse. Now then,…
With Trump out of office and Netanyahu presently sidelined the current Prime Minister, Naftali Bennett, in many a peculiar twist of fate takes of a form similar to Joe Biden; a political machine wanting to excise a force-unwilling-to-be-reconned-with uses the weakest possible from, for its pliability, to act as the Vicar of Change, the emissary of situational scruples on a just-in-time sense of urgency the Public is simply too ignorant to resist. The outcome is no less unavoidable; like Biden and Obama before him, Bennett brought with him a tailored measure, a muddy malaise that soon drifts the ship of state to the unknown, the uncharted and always the unsavory shoals of intended consequence. So then,…
In keeping with the nautical reference(s), in what way, if any, are the tides changing for Israel? The best way to approach this, and I will try to be concise, is by way of a Q & A approach which follows:
- Is a 2-State (Israel-Palestine) Solution possible? The short answer is a definitive “NO” which should not mean that it can’t happen but that given the current climate, particularly with Syria/Lebanon to the North and Saudi-Arabia/Egypt to the South, it remains a solution whose outcome is made murky by serious policy failures of the past, the kind that have marked a premise that continues to push the horizon ever-further off the table. After all, even though the two-state solution was an implicit component of the original 1947 UN Resolution which call for the establishment State of Israel and soundly rejected by Arabs Leadership, why should any of these States come to the table when they know the U.S. will, for beneficial optics, throw Billions at them and continue to grease the revolving door that keeps the status-quo preferential to that of a solution. The addiction of contempt is just too damned irresistible.
- Does the Currency of Energy offer a path? Few are aware that Israel is increasingly becoming a key producer of Natural Gas. This new means of wealth generation provides Israel with much improved autonomy, political and economic. This segment of the Israel political-economic pie could very well be a valuable tool in bringing Saudi Arabia and Israel to a meeting of the minds, well, sort of. Much of the battle being waged in the Middle East has moved past the war of religions and on to mastering the valves and conduits of Energy-$’s, specifically, how to get Natural Gas (NG) and Crude to the manifolds in Turkey which feed, ultimately, the E.U.’s energy demands. (The U.S. wants these supplies to smother Russia’s efforts as well as see an end to the Nord Stream pipeline.) On the opposing side of the equation, to that of the “West’s” position, lies the Iranian preference driving its Energy-$’s course from north-western Iran on up to north-central Iraq or from Saudi Arabia, north thru Joran, Syria with access thru south-eastern Turkey. Presently, Saudi Arabia ties future relations with Israel to that of the 2-State Solution which is a visible example of just how amazing Posture’s can of often do soften when the flow of currency becomes the vice of choice.
Setting aside, for the moment, the politics of currency the fact is that as to a Palestinian Homeland solution there remains unresolvable issues anchored in Biblical and Tribal History.
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- The Israeli’s hold to the provenance of the “Promised Land” while the Arabs do not.
- The Israeli’s have military superiority and they will use it. The Palestinians don’t so they’re left with threat of aggravated force, guerrilla tactics.
A supreme act of courage fueled by the Devine grace of enlightenment is the much-needed lever for this issue to be resolved. Period.
In the meantime, a would suggest a deal with Jordan and Lebanon whereby a carve-out of lands would be offered to appease the 2-State’s land desires; a right of way thru each (Jordan and Lebanon) including Syria for which they would be granted a durable “royalty” with a portion of the total revenues going to the administrative costs of the newly created State of “Palestine” portions of which, for a time, may remain a part of (areas currently as Israeli settlement but not part of the “carve-out” regions) would be treated as a self-governing area – similar in form to that of the U.S. and Puerta Rico relationship.
Yes, it’s not perfect, but it’s a step. To tie the knot even tighter, the prospects of Benjamin Netanyahu’s return to the Office of Prime Minister is a near certainty. His return, absent a strong opposition from the West, will remove any prohibitions baring Israel from expanding settlements on the West Bank, being the equivalent of annexation, the effect of which will unleash an entirely new round of uprisings that will, most definitely, be measured in the wasting of precious lives and this promulgation is complete separate and unrelated to a far more serious threat I see forming on the horizon. Iran.
Yes, Iran is the pointy end of a spear they lease from and is backed by Russia/China however just as they play the role of proxy for their sponsor Iran has proxies as well key among them being Hezbollah, the Houthis, Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Iran is closely monitoring the ever-maturing weakness of the U.S. President and the unconscionability of his judgement and that of the U.S. Department of State both of whom insists on pressing forward with adolescent-like fawning over Iran all the while Iran pulls them closer to the edge of no return and laughs at the stupidity of DOS Ivy-League Leftovers from both the Bush and Obama regimes.
Iran’s continued ability to outmaneuver the Waspish U.S. DOS is more a tribute to critical failures by the U.S. than Iran’s capacity to wage asymmetrical warfare over/against what on paper is an overwhelmingly superior force.
These critical failures are in:
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- Leadership,
- A solid grasp of history,
- A thorough study of human tendencies and,
- A stern dedication to the total intrusion of each of these upon a specifically defined target.
As Biden continues to fail in both domestic and in the tactical end of Foreign Policy (frankly what other type is there) he will not only expose the U.S. to an unplanned component that will have terrible effect on U.S. capacity (preparedness and the durability for processing an over-the-horizon conflict) the consequential effect being Iran will have little concern for a direct response from the U.S. Iran will see the ineffectiveness of Biden to address U.S. domestic issues as both a sign of overwhelming weakness they will also see it as a sign that he will not only not act decisively he will be terrified of acting with the blunt-force response Iran has long deserved but the U.S. has been unwilling to unleash the reasons for which we’ll have to cover at another time.
By the way, a bit of bad news for the Biden Regime and their fan club: Iran already has the resources, skillset immediately available to produce a WMD and this has been known for nearly two decades – documented by the IAEA all the way back in 2003. If they lack in anything it is likely (only) in the guidance systems required for a ballistic missile delivery system and let’s pray that Russia, China, N. Korea, India or Pakistan aren’t stupid enough to give it to them.
Finally, on the subject of Netanyahu, his willingness to confront Iran is remarkable and if my tea-reading is correct he will return and this practice will continue however it comes, of course, with a price. Former Clinton student, Rahm Emanuel, described the “price” in a manner every progressive-fascist will know well:
“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. And what I mean by that is an opportunity to do things that you think you could not do before.”
While the Biden Administration is busied with various forms of self-loathing indulgences and while I would expect occasional flair-ups with Iran so long as the Battle-for-the-Black Sea (Russia-Ukraine) doesn’t spill-over into a face-to-face with Turkey and Iran (one that involves an open and direct move by either or both of these against U.S. assets) so long as the Biden Admin remains preoccupied there should be little teasing of conflict in the area save for as mentioned above. One last point on the subject of the Biden State Department; there isn’t a Nation-State with any credible element of State-Craft that doesn’t loathe this Nations apparatus of obsequious petulance and meddlesome opulence; the U.S. frantic exodus from Afghanistan is a case in point.
As the years go by I’ve come to understand, increasingly, what my Father was trying to teach me when he would say, “tell me who you walk with and I’ll tell you who you are.”
Curtis C. Greco, Founder
